Decision Tree Modeling
1CC uses decision analysis modeling in part to evaluate potential investments. We work collaboratively with entrepreneurs to build each model.
Decision analYsis Resources
1CC maintains a decision tree workbook template that you can download below. Please view the Intro video and fill out a first draft of the worksheet tabs. Reach out directly to us with any questions regarding the model or how you can best populate the information requested.
Download Decision Tree Model Template
version: 20220123
Note: Fill in the fields that are shaded green on each tab of the workbook.
Other resources and reference info:
Use of Decision Analysis to model situations with large amounts of capital at risk and many unknowns is a tool kit that is applied to many domains including pharmaceutical R&D, oil exploration, as well as venture capital. If you are interested in learning more, here are a few places to look:
Stanford class on Decision Analysis in VC given by Clint Korver, Ulu Ventures
Two books on decision making in the presence of unknowns:
Definition of the stage gates (early market, chasm crossing, mass market) are described in this book:
Crossing the Chasm by Geoffrey Moore